Ukraine's accession to the EU. Hungary Russia.
international news. EU plans
Kremlin media reports that Hungary has calculated how much Ukraine's accession to the EU will cost. They cite an adviser to Hungarian Prime Minister Orban, who spoke on the topic at a forum. Here is another lie by the Kremlin and its international agents.
The Hungarian edition of Hungary Today actually quotes Balázs Orban's speech at the Economx Money Talks forum in Budapest:
"Balázs Orbán stressed that Ukraine's forced accession to the EU would absorb resources needed to solve all the other problems facing the European Union and would seriously weaken Hungary's strategic position. The prime minister's adviser noted that Ukraine's full integration would cost approximately €2.5 trillion over several years, which is 12 times the EU's budget this year. Balázs Orbán also stressed that the cost of rebuilding Ukraine is enormous: according to conservative estimates, it is $500 billion, while Ukrainian sources estimate it at €1 trillion. In addition, maintaining the country's functioning will cost $100 billion a year, which will also be largely covered by the EU."
However, the Hungarian business and financial news portal Economx, which organised the forum, gives a completely different estimate of the cost of Ukraine's accession to the EU: €20 trillion. Again, it cites Mr Orban. But in none of these materials did the prime minister's adviser explain on the basis of which calculations he came to this conclusion, or what components these gigantic costs would consist of. Balázs Orbán himself, by the way, is not an economist, but a political scientist. It is also unknown who calculated the costs.
Meanwhile, his estimates are at odds with the conclusions of international think tanks. For example, in March 2024, the Bruegel think tank published estimates that Ukraine's accession to the EU would cost the EU between €110 and €136 billion. The Euronews report said:
"The forecast is based on the current rules and budget structure for 2021-2027 and shows how much money the war-torn country will be entitled to after gaining the desired membership. Ukraine was first announced as a candidate in June 2022 and was granted the go-ahead for accession talks in December 2023. In total, Ukraine will receive about €136 billion (at current prices) over the seven-year budget period. This is far less than the €186 billion the Financial Times reported in October based on a study prepared by the EU Council. However, if the country fails to retake the occupied east and suffers a permanent decline in its territory, population and economic resources, Bruegel estimates that the allocation will fall to €110 billion."
Bruegel's calculations, like those of the EU Council, do not include the costs of post-war reconstruction of Ukraine, as it is assumed that not only EU member states but also private capital will invest in it. In any case, it would be incorrect to include these amounts in the EU's potential expenditures, as a significant portion of the funds will be invested by private companies, not only from EU countries but also from the United States, Turkey, and South Korea. And the fund for Ukraine's recovery is in no way related to the EU integration process.
Moreover, most experts believe that the EU itself will benefit more from Ukraine's accession than vice versa. The European Centre for International Political Economy (ECIPE) has prepared an interesting analysis on this topic: https://ecipe.org/blog/expanding-neighbourhood-benefits-ukraine-joining-eu/ and the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change: https://institute.global/insights/geopolitics-and-security/the-benefits-and-opportunities-of-ukraines-eu-accession
Thus, the unsubstantiated statements of Balázs Orban and other members of the Hungarian government, which maintains close ties with the criminal putin regime, are nothing more than campaigning before a poll of the Hungarian population on the attitude to Ukraine's accession to the EU. Its purpose is to show an alternative opinion among EU members who do not support the ‘Ukrainian issue’. In other words, they support moscow's plan. putin needs all this: to slow down the process, to add artificial obstacles. But Europe spoke clearly back in 2022: Ukraine and Moldova will become full members of the European Union. Individual kremlin agents will not influence the opinion of the overwhelming majority of alliance members.
Based on materials from Stopfake.org
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